Chapter 6 Open Economy Macroeconomics

Introduction to Open Economy

An open economy interacts with other countries through various channels, unlike a closed economy which has no linkages with the rest of the world.

Three Linkages of Open Economy:

  1. Output Market: Trade in goods and services with other countries
  2. Financial Market: Buying financial assets from other countries
  3. Labour Market: Movement of labor between countries (though restricted by immigration laws)

Foreign trade influences aggregate demand in two ways:

6.1 The Balance of Payments (BoP)

Balance of Payments (BoP): Records transactions in goods, services, and assets between residents of a country and the rest of the world for a specified period (typically a year).

6.1.1 Current Account

Records trade in goods and services and transfer payments. Components include:

Component Description
Trade in Goods Exports and imports of goods
Trade in Services Factor income (earnings on factors of production) and non-factor income (services like shipping, banking, tourism)
Transfer Payments Receipts received 'for free' (gifts, remittances, grants)

Balance on Current Account:

Components of Current Account Balance:

  1. Balance of Trade (BOT): Difference between value of exports and imports of goods
    • Surplus: Exports > Imports
    • Deficit: Imports > Exports
  2. Net Invisibles: Difference between exports and imports of services, transfers, and income flows

6.1.2 Capital Account

Records all international transactions of assets (money, stocks, bonds, government debt).

Component Description
Investments Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs), Foreign Institutional Investments (FIIs)
External Borrowings Commercial borrowings, short-term debt
External Assistance Government aid, inter-governmental loans

Balance on Capital Account:

6.1.3 Balance of Payments Surplus and Deficit

Key relationship: Current account + Capital account = 0

A current account deficit must be financed by a capital account surplus (net capital inflow).

Official Reserve Sale: When central bank sells foreign exchange to balance BoP deficit.

Overall Balance: Decrease/increase in official reserves is called overall BoP deficit/surplus.

Autonomous vs Accommodating Transactions:

Autonomous Transactions Accommodating Transactions
Made for reasons other than bridging BoP gap Determined by BoP gap (deficit/surplus)
'Above the line' items 'Below the line' items (mainly official reserve transactions)
Independent of BoP state Dependent on autonomous transactions' net consequences

Errors and Omissions:

Third element of BoP accounting for inaccuracies in recording international transactions.

Example from India's BoP (Table 6.1):

6.2 The Foreign Exchange Market

Foreign Exchange Market: Market where national currencies are traded for one another.

Exchange Rate: Price of one currency in terms of another (e.g., Rs 50 per dollar).

6.2.1 Foreign Exchange Rate

Demand for Foreign Exchange:

Reasons for demand:

Law of Demand: As exchange rate rises (domestic currency depreciates), demand for foreign exchange decreases (imports become more expensive).

Supply of Foreign Exchange:

Sources of supply:

As exchange rate rises, supply may increase (exports become cheaper for foreigners).

6.2.2 Determination of Exchange Rate

Three exchange rate systems:

1. Flexible (Floating) Exchange Rate

Determined by market forces of demand and supply without central bank intervention.

Fig. 6.1: Equilibrium under Flexible Exchange Rates

[Diagram showing demand and supply curves intersecting to determine exchange rate]

Depreciation: Increase in price of foreign currency in terms of domestic currency (domestic currency loses value).

Appreciation: Decrease in price of foreign currency in terms of domestic currency (domestic currency gains value).

Factors Affecting Flexible Exchange Rates:
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Theory:

In the long run, exchange rates adjust so that the same product costs the same in different countries when measured in a common currency.

Example 6.1:

If a shirt costs $8 in US and Rs 400 in India, PPP exchange rate = 400/8 = Rs 50/$.

If prices rise 20% in India (Rs 480) and 50% in US ($12), new PPP rate = 480/12 = Rs 40/$ (dollar depreciated).

2. Fixed Exchange Rate

Government fixes the exchange rate at a particular level.

Fig. 6.3: Foreign Exchange Market with Fixed Exchange Rates

[Diagram showing government intervention at fixed exchange rates]

Devaluation: Official increase in fixed exchange rate (making domestic currency cheaper).

Revaluation: Official decrease in fixed exchange rate (making domestic currency costlier).

3. Managed Floating (Dirty Floating)

Combination of flexible and fixed systems where central banks intervene occasionally to moderate exchange rate movements.

6.2.3 Merits and Demerits of Exchange Rate Systems

System Advantages Disadvantages
Fixed Exchange Rate Stability in international transactions Prone to speculative attacks; requires large reserves
Flexible Exchange Rate Automatic BoP adjustment; monetary policy independence Exchange rate volatility

Determination of Equilibrium Income in Open Economy

National Income Identity for Open Economy

Closed economy: Y = C + I + G

Open economy: Y = C + I + G + X - M or Y = C + I + G + NX

Where NX = X - M (Net Exports)

Imports and Exports Functions

Imports function: M = M̅ + mY

Where:

Exports (X) are considered exogenous (X = X̅).

Equilibrium Income

Y = A̅ + cY - mY

Solution: Y* = (1/(1 - c + m)) × A̅

Open Economy Multiplier: ΔY/ΔA = 1/(1 - c + m)

Smaller than closed economy multiplier (1/(1 - c)) because imports create additional leakage.

Example 6.2:

If c = 0.8 and m = 0.3:

Closed economy multiplier = 1/(1-0.8) = 5

Open economy multiplier = 1/(1-0.8+0.3) = 2

Thus, same increase in autonomous spending has smaller effect in open economy.

Multiplier Effects

Export multiplier: ΔY*/ΔX̅ = 1/(1 - c + m)

Import multiplier: ΔY*/ΔM̅ = -1/(1 - c + m)

Key Concepts